Category: Featured

Update to the State of Microbusinesses in Alabama

  • March 11th, 2026

CBER’s Director of Demographics and Socioeconomic Analysis, Dr. Nyesha C. Black, recently released an updated brief examining the State of Microbusinesses in Alabama. The report analyzes establishment trends, payroll activity, employment patterns, and industry distribution among the state’s smallest firms using data from the U.S. Census Bureau’s County Business Patterns (CBP).

A microbusiness is defined as an employer establishment with fewer than 10 employees. According to the latest data, Alabama had 74,232 microbusiness establishments in 2023, representing 70.2 percent of all employer establishments statewide. These firms collectively supported 237,053 jobs and generated $11.4 billion in payroll, demonstrating the significant role that very small businesses play in Alabama’s economy.

Microbusiness activity is widely distributed across industries, though it is most concentrated in retail trade, professional services, health care and social assistance, construction, and other service-based sectors. Retail trade alone accounted for 12,602 microbusiness establishments, or 17 percent of all microbusinesses in the state.

While microbusinesses are smaller in scale than larger firms, they remain a foundational component of Alabama’s economic structure — supporting local employment, entrepreneurship, and business diversity across communities throughout the state.

More details can be found in the State of Microbusinesses in Alabama updated report here. All questions and inquiries can be directed to Dr. Nyesha Black at ncblack@ua.edu.

UA’s Impact on State, Local Economies Sets Records

  • November 13th, 2025

TUSCALOOSA, Ala. — The University of Alabama continues to be an economic driver for the state as its flagship university set record high economic and fiscal impacts for the 2023-2024 academic year.

“At The University of Alabama, we measure our success not only by the achievements of our students, but also by the impact we create across our state and beyond,” UA President Peter J. Mohler said. “These record-setting results highlight how UA fuels economic growth, prepares the workforce and strengthens communities. We are proud to deliver lasting value for Alabama and to build on this momentum together.”

According to latest UA economic impact report conducted by the Center for Business and Economic Research in the UA Culverhouse College of Business, the University’s $3.4 billion economic impact on the state and $2.354 billion impact on the Tuscaloosa metro area economy are record highs.

“With increasing enrollment and employment, UA set record economic impacts on Alabama for academic year 2023-2024 and continued to deliver both tangible and intangible benefits to its graduates and the state that have positive spillovers to the nation and the world,” said Dr. Samuel Addy, associate dean for economic development outreach in Culverhouse and a senior research economist for CBER.

State Impact

UA had a $14.80 impact per dollar appropriated by the state. From a public investment perspective, the state will realize a 10.4% annual rate of return on the appropriation because the 2023-2024 graduating class will pay $1.090 billion more in state income and sales taxes over their careers than they would have without their UA education.

Additional impacts for the state include 15,238 jobs, $164.8 million in income and sales taxes, and $235 million from UA’s seven home football games.

Local Impact

The Tuscaloosa metro economy impacts were 13,989 jobs, $50.0 million in local sales taxes and $160.1 million from home football games.

Return on Investment

UA’s contributions to economic and workforce development extend beyond education and training. Attracting the best and brightest students from Alabama and beyond beneficially exposes more future leaders to opportunities in the state and potential for development. UA also delivers many other public and private benefits through research, service and outreach programs.

The University is an educational tourism asset as out-of-state students spend significantly more money and time in the state than ordinary tourists do. Additionally, many out-of-state students stay, work and spend in the state after graduation.

A degree from the University provides real annual rates of return that range from 6.7% to 11.5% for the 2023-2024 graduating class over high school completion depending on degree level; corresponding marginal annual rates of return range from 6.7% to 23.2%.

“The UA education is worthwhile and prudent from both public and private investment perspectives for the state of Alabama and the University’s students,” Addy said.


The University of Alabama, part of The University of Alabama System, is the state’s flagship university. UA shapes a better world through its teaching, research and service. With a global reputation for excellence, UA provides a forward-thinking environment and over 200 degree programs on a beautiful, student-centered campus. A leader in cutting-edge research, UA advances discovery, creative inquiry and knowledge through more than 30 research centers. As the state’s largest higher education institution, UA drives economic growth in Alabama and beyond.

Contact

Alex House, UA Strategic Communications, alex.house@ua.edu

Source

Dr. Samuel Addy, saddy@ua.edu

 

ASDC Network Answers 865 Data Requests in 2024

  • May 12th, 2025

The University of Alabama’s Center for Business and Economic Research is the lead Alabama State Data Center (ASDC) organization, but the network also includes some amazing affiliates with a wide range of expertise. Each year, we compile a report detailing all of the work being done throughout the state on behalf of the network. This year, twelve affiliates responded, and the numbers are really impressive!

In 2024, the Alabama State Data Center network filled 865 data requests. Of those, 845 were filled free of charge. The chart below shows who the data requests came from broken down into seven main categories. Over a third of 2024’s data requests to the ASDC came from government agencies, but many businesses and private citizens also reached out to affiliates to help access or understand data.

The ASDC was formed in 1978 as a partnership between the U.S. Census Bureau and the State of Alabama. Throughout the years, the technology has changed, but the mission has remained the same: to make data available locally to the public through a network of state agencies, universities, libraries, and regional and local governments and to foster two-way communications with the bureau on data usability and user needs.

One of the most important jobs of an ASDC affiliate is to help people in Alabama access and understand data, so we’ll answer questions, help you find and access data, or connect you with Census Bureau experts for free. Whether you are trying to describe your community so you can better serve them or apply for grants, or if you are interested in learning more about genealogy to understand your own history, or if you want to learn more about the businesses in your community before you embark on your own venture, the Alabama State Data Center can help!

In-Migration Continues to Drive Growth in Alabama’s Counties

  • March 13th, 2025

From 2023 to 2024, 41 of Alabama’s 67 counties experienced population growth according to new estimates released on March 13, 2025 from the U.S. Census Bureau’s Population Estimates Program.

Population can grow in two ways: through a natural increase, which is when births outnumber deaths in an area, or through positive net migration, which is when more people move into an area than out of it.

Overall, the state’s population grew by 40,026 people from July 1, 2023 to July 1, 2024. During that period, Alabama experienced a natural decrease: deaths outnumbered births in the state by 1,732. However, that was significantly offset by positive net migration: 41,791 more people moved into Alabama than out of it. Just over 62 percent (26,028) of those people moved to Alabama from somewhere else in the US, while the remaining 38 percent (15,763) moved from somewhere internationally.[1]

 

Population Growth by County from 2023 to 2024

Breaking it down into smaller geographies, the population in 34 of Alabama’s 67 counties grew by more than 100 people from July 1, 2023 to July 1, 2024; 20 counties either gained or lost fewer than 100 people; and 14 counties saw population decreases of more than 100 people in from 2023 to 2024.

Six counties had significantly more in-migration than the rest of the counties, with a net migration higher than 1,400 people: Madison, Baldwin, Limestone, Shelby, Tuscaloosa, and St. Clair. Those six counties also had the highest total population growth by raw numbers (see Table 1).

Madison County and Baldwin County had the highest population growth by raw numbers, with their respective populations increasing by 9,464 and 7,501 people over the year. Madison County had 793 more births than deaths, adding to their population growth, but Baldwin County actually had a negative natural change, with 150 more deaths than births from July 1, 2023 to July, 1 2024.

Table 1: Six High-Growth Counties and Alabama Population
Components of Change from 2023 to 2024

Total Population Change

Natural Change
(births minus deaths)
Total Net Migration
Alabama 40,026 -1,732 41,791
Madison County 9,464 793 8,680
Baldwin County 7,501 -150 7,645
Limestone County 4,139 175 3,979
Shelby County 3,576 457 3,103
Tuscaloosa County 2,376 703 1,673
St. Clair County 2,008 563 1,426

View detailed table here that includes all 67 counties as well as detailed breakdowns of the components of change.
Source: U.S. Census Bureau, Population Division

 

Population Growth by MSA from 2023 to 2024

Much of the state’s growth from 2023 to 2024 occurred in counties that are part of Alabama’s twelve metropolitan statistical areas (MSAs). The Census Bureau defines the general concept of a metropolitan as that of an urban core area of 50,000 inhabitants or more, together with adjacent counties that have a high degree of economic and social integration with that core.

All of Alabama’s twelve MSAs experienced some population growth from 2023 to 2024, though the scale of that growth ranged from just a few people to several thousands (see Table 2). The Huntsville MSA, which includes Madison and Limestone counties, had the highest population growth, while the Birmingham and Daphne-Fairhope-Foley MSAs also saw significant growth of over 6,000 people.

All of the MSAs had positive net migration while only half experienced natural growth. Birmingham had the third highest net migration of the MSAs and was notably the only one to have higher international net migration (3,751) than domestic (2,205).

Table 2: Alabama MSA Population Components of Change from 2023 to 2024

Metropolitan Statistical Area Total Population Change Natural Change
(births minus deaths)
Total Net Migration
Anniston-Oxford 24 -325 350
Auburn-Opelika 3,388 340 3,031
Birmingham 6,382 441 5,956
Daphne-Fairhope-Foley 7,501 -150 7,645
Decatur 691 -228 916
Dothan 1,286 -211 1,496
Florence-Muscle Shoals 1,038 -442 1,486
Gadsden 33 -427 460
Huntsville 13,603 968 12,659
Mobile 594 355 246
Montgomery 1,385 688 697
Tuscaloosa 1,788 436 1,334

View detailed table here that includes detailed breakdowns of the components of change for the MSAs as well as Alabama’s 12 micropolitan statistical areas.
Source: U.S. Census Bureau, Population Division

All of the latest population estimates for Alabama as well as its counties, MSAs, cities, and towns can be found in easy-to-use spreadsheets on CBER’s Alabama Demographics page. These data are provided as a free service from the University of Alabama’s Center for Business and Economic Research as part of their role as the lead agency for the Alabama State Data Center (ASDC) and for the Federal State Cooperative for Population Estimates (FSCPE). If you have any questions about this or other local data, please feel free to reach out to CBER’s socioeconomic team: Dr. Nyesha Black (ncblack@ua.edu) or Susannah Robichaux (scrobichaux@ua.edu).

 

[1] Net international migration for the United States includes the international migration of both U.S.-born and non-U.S.-born populations. Specifically, it includes: (a) the net international migration of the non-U.S. born, (b) the net migration of U.S. born to and from the United States, (c) the net migration between the United States and Puerto Rico, and (d) the net movement of the Armed Forces population between the United States and overseas.

UA Economists Forecast Moderate Growth for Alabama in 2025

  • February 19th, 2025

TUSCALOOSA — Alabama’s economy will likely continue to grow in 2025, with real output at a rate of 2.3 % say economists at The University of Alabama. In the annual report from UA’s Center for Business and Economics Research, economists temper optimism with caution.

“The optimistic forecast is driven by an expectation of continued consumer spending, reduced inflation, and supportive fiscal policy,” said Dr. Kilungu Nzaku, an associate research economist at CBER. “However, current and ongoing events on trade have injected some uncertainty into the economy. If unchanged, the announced and proposed tariffs could usurp gains made in curtailing inflation and slow economic growth.”

CBER’s economists expect the most robust gains in sectors that heavily depend on consumer spending such as accommodation and food services; real estate, rentals and leasing; arts, entertainment and recreation; retail trade; and educational and health services. Sectors with a less favorable economic and employment outlook include mining and natural resources, textile mills, and industries related to printing.

CBER’s newly released Alabama Economic Outlook, unveiled at the 2025 Alabama Economic Outlook Conference in January, includes 2025 economic forecast for the nation, Alabama and the metro areas, as well as an overview of 2024 economic performance. The full report is available on the center’s website.

This year’s outlook features an article from demographer Dr. Nyesha Black detailing Alabama’s slowing population growth. Demographic analysis shows that the number of deaths now exceed births in Alabama for the first time since CBER began tracking vital statistics data in 1930. However, relocation to the state has allowed the population to continue growing.

CBER also previewed a new county economic impact calculator, developed by CBER’s economists, which will allow economic development practitioners to estimate the economic impact of new investment projects for all 67 counties in Alabama. The economic impact calculator will be available to the public in an online format later this year.

Part of the Culverhouse College of Business, UA’s Center for Business and Economic Research has produced forecasts of economic activity in Alabama since 1980. These forecasts cover Alabama’s gross domestic product, employment and income by industry group and are published in the annual Alabama Economic Outlook. Forecast updates are ran quarterly. The center incorporates data from the last 30 years, including cycles and recoveries captured over the years, into its statistical and economic models.

 

Source

Kilungu Nzaku, associate research economist of the UA Center for Business and Economic Research, knzaku@.ua.edu

The University of Alabama, part of The University of Alabama System, is the state’s flagship university. UA shapes a better world through its teaching, research and service. With a global reputation for excellence, UA provides an inclusive, forward-thinking environment and nearly 200 degree programs on a beautiful, student-centered campus. A leader in cutting-edge research, UA advances discovery, creative inquiry and knowledge through more than 30 research centers. As the state’s largest higher education institution, UA drives economic growth in Alabama and beyond.

2023 Population Estimates for Alabama Cities and Towns

  • May 22nd, 2024

The U.S. Census Bureau released updated population estimates last week for Alabama’s 462 incorporated cities and towns. The new data estimates the population on July 1, 2023 using birth, death, and migration statistics, and revises the estimates for 2022, 2021, and 2020. These new estimates, along with other useful data, can be found on the Alabama Demographics page on the website of the Center for Business and Economic Research at The University of Alabama.


Click here to view the interactive map with the 2023 population data for cities and towns:
Data Source:  2023 Population Estimates, U.S. Census Bureau
Map made by Dr. Komla Khoumi

 

Population Growth

From 2022 to 2023, 259 cities and towns in Alabama experienced some population growth, gaining at least one person. Fifty-one of those places grew by more than 100 people, and six increased their population by more than 1,000 people. Table 1 below has the cities and towns in Alabama with the highest population growth.

 

Table 1. The top 15 towns and cities in Alabama with the
most population growth from 2022 to 2023.
    Change from 2022 to 2023
Place 2023 Population Estimate Number Percent
Huntsville city 225,564 3,534 1.6%
Athens city 30,904 2,262 7.9%
Auburn city 82,025 1,648 2.1%
Foley city 24,873 1,180 5.0%
Fairhope city 24,974 1,108 4.6%
Madison city 60,854 1,063 1.8%
Opelika city 33,572 801 2.4%
Tuscaloosa city 111,338 763 0.7%
Florence city 42,437 750 1.8%
Daphne city 30,321 654 2.2%
Cullman city 19,913 648 3.4%
Gulf Shores city 16,850 569 3.5%
Prattville city 39,318 564 1.5%
Silverhill town 1,923 558 40.9%
Chelsea city 16,771 556 3.4%

Source: 2023 Population Estimates, U.S. Census Bureau Population Estimates Program.

 

Alabama’s Largest Cities

Population trends in the state’s fifteen largest cities varied: six large cities grew by more than 500 people, with the most growth in Huntsville (3,534), Athens (2,262), and Auburn (1,648).  Five of the state’s largest cities grew by less than 400 people, with some population levels only growing modestly. Four of the largest cities lost more than 100 people, with the largest decreases in the cities of Montgomery (-1,657) and Mobile (-695). Table 2 shows the population changes from 2022 to 2023 for Alabama’s largest cities.

Huntsville continued to experience significant growth, adding almost 10 people per day from 2022 to 2023 to reach a population of over 225,000. Huntsville has been Alabama’s most populous city since 2020 and, as of 2023, has almost 30,000 more people than the state’s next largest cities, Birmingham and Montgomery.

Table 2. Population changes in Alabama’s 15 largest
cities from 2022 to 2023.
    Change from 2022 to 2023
Place 2023 Population Estimate Number Percent
Huntsville city 225,564 3,534 1.6%
Birmingham city 196,644 -243 -0.1%
Montgomery city 195,287 -1,657 -0.8%
Mobile city 182,595 -695 -0.4%
Tuscaloosa city 111,338 763 0.7%
Hoover city 92,448 42 0.0%
Auburn city 82,025 1,648 2.1%
Dothan city 71,258 47 0.1%
Madison city 60,854 1,063 1.8%
Decatur city 58,321 392 0.7%
Florence city 42,437 750 1.8%
Prattville city 39,318 564 1.5%
Phenix City city 38,441 152 0.4%
Vestavia Hills city 38,020 -266 -0.7%
Alabaster city 34,107 238 0.7%

Source: 2023 Population Estimates, U.S. Census Bureau Population Estimates Program.

 

Fast Growing Populations

Fast-growing places are those with a high growth rate in population from 2022 to 2023. Of the fifteen fastest growing cities and towns in Alabama, four were in Baldwin County: Silverhill, Foley, Loxley, and Fairhope. Two other counties also had more than one city rank on as some of the fastest growing places: Triana and Owens Cross Roads are in Madison County, and Odenville and Margaret are in St. Clair County.

 

Table 3. The top 15 fastest-growing towns and cities in Alabama
from 2022 to 2023.
    Change from 2022 to 2023
Place 2023 Population Estimate Number Percent
Silverhill town 1,923 558 40.9%
Triana town 4,456 505 12.8%
Owens Cross Roads 2,917 265 10.0%
Athens city 30,904 2,262 7.9%
Odenville city 5,352 380 7.6%
Moundville town 3,516 245 7.5%
Margaret town 6,236 424 7.3%
Oak Grove town 592 40 7.2%
Rehobeth town 2,013 121 6.4%
Jemison city 2,941 164 5.9%
Vance town 2,263 124 5.8%
West Jefferson town 466 24 5.4%
Foley city 24,873 1,180 5.0%
Loxley town 4,623 218 4.9%
Fairhope city 24,974 1,108 4.6%

Source: 2023 Population Estimates, U.S. Census Bureau Population Estimates Program.

 

Population Loss

Some cities in Alabama lost population from 2022 to 2023, according to the latest estimates. Fifteen cities’ populations decreased by more than 100 people from 2022 to 2023. Eight of those cities were in Jefferson County, which you can see marked by an asterisk in Table 4.

Table 3. The 15 Alabama towns and cities with the biggest
population decreases from 2022 to 2023.
    Change from 2022 to 2023
Place 2023 Population Estimate Number Percent
Montgomery city 195,287 -1,657 -0.8%
Mobile city 182,595 -695 -0.4%
Selma city 16,666 -341 -2.0%
Vestavia Hills city* 38,020 -266 -0.7%
Bessemer city* 25,037 -251 -1.0%
Birmingham city* 196,644 -243 -0.1%
Mountain Brook* 21,737 -204 -0.9%
Center Point city* 15,705 -175 -1.1%
Hueytown city* 16,202 -154 -0.9%
Alexander City city 14,470 -150 -1.0%
Brent city 2,659 -142 -5.1%
Wetumpka city 7,218 -141 -1.9%
Greenville city 7,030 -135 -1.9%
Gardendale city* 16,096 -117 -0.7%
Fairfield city* 9,582 -107 -1.1%

Source: 2023 Population Estimates, U.S. Census Bureau Population Estimates Program.

 

Analysis and text by Susannah Robichaux, Socioeconomic Analyst and lead for the Alabama State Data Center. Interactive map by Dr. Komla Khoumi, Assistant Research Professional.

 

UA Economists: Alabama’s Economic Growth Projected to Slow while Inflation Expected to Decrease

  • April 16th, 2024

Tuscaloosa, Ala – Alabama’s economic growth is projected to slow while inflation is expected to slightly decrease through 2024, according to researchers at The University of Alabama’s Center for Business and Economic Research (CBER).

The state’s economy continued to grow in 2023, without being affected by stubborn inflation, monetary policy rate hikes, lingering labor shortages, and the continued effects of the Ukraine-Russian war, according to CBER.

Alabama’s economic output for 2024 is projected to increase 1.2%, compared to a projected increase of 1.4% for the United States. The projection comes after the state’s economic output grew by 1.9% in 2023, due to high consumer spending and a surge in exports. Nationally, the economic output grew by 2.4% in 2023, driven by pent-up demand and accumulated savings from the pandemic era.

“Most likely Alabama’s growth for 2023 will be revised upwards to slightly over 2.0%,” said Ahmad Ijaz, CBER’s executive director and director of economic forecasting.

Businesses and consumers spent almost $3 trillion in savings during the pandemic, which aided in avoiding a recession and sustain the economy . Economists estimate that approximately $1.0 trillion in accumulated savings are still remaining, and these funds could continue to keep both businesses and consumers buoyed despite high interest rates.

“Strong consumer spending in 2022 and 2023 was driven primarily by pent-up demand and accumulating savings built up during the pandemic era,” Ijaz said.

The Center for Business and Economic Research has produced forecasts of economic activity in Alabama since 1980. The center incorporates data from the last 30 years, including cycles and recoveries captured over the years, into its statistical and economic models. These forecasts cover Alabama’s gross domestic product, employment, and income by industry group and are published in the annual Alabama Economic Outlook, which includes and annual analysis into the national and state economy, including examinations of metro areas in Alabama. Forecast updates are provided quarterly. The 2024 Alabama Economic Outlook, available for free on the center’s website, reports consumer spending should increase by 1.9 percent in 2024 and 1.5% percent in 2025, which could be damped by high levels of consumer debt going forward.

“Alabama’s economy is still growing,” said Ijaz, “and will continue to do so despite recession fears triggered by higher interests rates.”

This year’s outlook includes the effects of population aging on labor force participation and whether Alabama really does have a labor shortage. The feature article highlights the need for economic stakeholders to incorporate a demographic perspective to improve the status of labor force participation in Alabama.

“There are clear patterns of population aging in Alabama that also shape the supply of the labor market,” said Dr. Nyesha Black, the director of demographics at CBER. “There are also significant shifts in the economic behaviors of younger male workers that are exerting a negative effect on Alabama’s overall labor force participation rate. In fact, Alabama’s labor force participation rates would be worse if it were not for the increased labor market engagement of women and workers who are 55 years and older.”

Mildly Confident Expansionary Forecast for Q2 2024

  • April 16th, 2024

Reports for the Q2 2024 Alabama Business Confidence Index Now Available

The Alabama Business Confidence Index (ABCI) grew by 4.8 points to reach a mildly confident expansionary index of 54.1 in the Q2 2024 survey. All six component indexes saw increases from their Q1 2024 levels, though the magnitude varied from fairly low increase (2.2 points) to a large leap (9.6 points). Business leaders are forecasting second quarter growth with mild to strong confidence for all of the industry component indexes and the Alabama economy. The only negative index for the quarter is the US outlook, which has been contractionary since Q1 2022.

View the ABCI homepage for more details on the specific components of the statewide ABCI forecast which are also broken down by industry and firm size; or view individual metro reports for Birmingham-Hoover, Huntsville, Mobile, Montgomery, and Huntsville. Historical reports are available for download from the ABCI archive.

Medical manufacturer to shutter Alabama plant after receiving millions in incentives

  • November 27th, 2023

Baxter Healthcare Corp. accepted about $3.3 million in state and local government incentives tied to the expansion of its Alabama plant. In exchange, the company agreed to hire and keep at least 200 employees through last year.

This month, with the decade-long deal done, the company is closing the facility in Opelika and laying off 459 employees. So was this a good deal for Alabama? For Opelika?

“No question about it. It’s a huge capital investment,” Gary Fuller, Opelika’s mayor, told AL.com on Wednesday, emphasizing that the city’s incentives were performance-based. “It was an excellent arrangement for us.”

The small city paid Baxter $1.3 million in cash incentives over the last eight years, in addition to providing other tax breaks, according to city records obtained by AL.com.

The medical device manufacturer also received $2 million from the state, said Stefania Jones, spokeswoman for the Alabama Department of Commerce.

Representatives for the Commerce Department didn’t respond to specific questions about the impact of the incentives given the closure, though Jones said that Alabama and Baxter “fulfilled their obligations in the agreement.”

Fuller pointed to two ways the city directly benefited from Baxter’s presence: education-related taxes, which he said supported Opelika city schools, and the city’s occupational license fee, for which the city collects 1.5% of payroll.

Baxter was eligible for more than $5 million in total cash incentives through its decade-long agreement with Alabama, Opelika and Opelika Industrial Authority, per a copy of the original 2014 agreement. In exchange, Baxter invested $270 million into expanding the facility that’s operated since the early 2000s, doubled the existing space to 400,000 square feet and doubled its workforce to 350 employees.

As of Nov. 30, Baxter is laying off hundreds more employees than it was incentivized to hire. That’s per a WARN notice reported Sept. 27, which major employers are legally required to file to notify the state that it plans to cut a lot of jobs. The company reported to Opelika that it employed 564 full-time workers at the Alabama plant, as of June 2022, per a company memo obtained by AL.com.

Sam Addy, a senior research economist who has served on committees reviewing the state’s incentive program, said that the Departments of Revenue and Commerce examine what a company like Baxter presents early on while making incentive agreements.

“They get [incentives] for when they are meeting the terms on an annual basis, so we don’t lose out,” he said. “The main risk is, do they get successful enough to stay?”

Greg LeRoy, executive director and founder of Good Jobs First – a watchdog group for state and local economic development subsidies – said Alabama and Opelika could’ve made a stronger deal. The agreement could’ve required a longer maintenance period than the incentives and tax credit period, he said.

“Business basics drive these decisions, not incentives. In this case, obviously, the incentives apparently don’t matter, or marginally, because even if the company had left earlier they wouldn’t have had to pay back very much and still got a lot of benefits.”

The bigger question, he said, is: “Why isn’t Opelika sticky enough for this company to stay?”

Addy, who is also associate dean for economic development outreach at the University of Alabama Culverhouse College of Business’ Center for Business and Economic Research, noted that Baxter progressed further than some other companies have before closing. He pointed to the state’s “pay-as-you-go” incentive program as why it’s successful, as opposed to handing over the incentives up front.

“As a whole program, it’s really good. The ROI on it is very high,” he said. “But you will always find single firms that don’t achieve success as we wanted.”

Why Baxter’s plant is shutting down

The company announced the closure of its plant in July, blaming the closure on rising costs of production and a competitive market. The facility in Opelika’s Fox Run Business Park produces dialyzers used in the treatment of advanced kidney disease.

After layoffs, Baxter will shut down all operations of the plant during the first half of next year, a company spokesperson said in an emailed statement to AL.com. The spokesperson declined to comment on the incentives. In the meantime, the company said it’s offering employees severance packages and assistance programs as well as connecting employees with other jobs within the company.

“This decision was made with considerable thought for our employees, the Opelika community and our patients and customers, and only after exploring other options,” the spokesperson said. “Based on the strength of the Opelika community and its talented workforce, we are exploring possible alternative uses for our facility in the future, but don’t have anything specific to share at this time.”

Baxter International Inc. also pointed to the global competition of the dialyzer market in its quarterly report posted July 27, for the three-month period ending June 30. “We believe that there is more than adequate availability of dialyzers in the United States and globally,” the company said in the financial report.

It’s unclear what will happen to the plant. Fuller said he’s asked corporate leaders at Baxter about that, noting that the plant’s design is specific to medical or pharmaceutical production.

“The company has been pretty close-mouthed of what their intentions were with the facility,” he said. “That’s a lot of money sitting there on that piece of property.”

In the meantime, Fuller said he hopes to recruit more companies to the city – including one that could be interested in taking over the facility. The city’s current top employers include the hospital East Alabama Medical Center, auto parts manufacturer Mando America Corp., vitamin producer Pharmavite, meat processor Golden State Foods and bottling plant Niagara Bottling.

Opelika is working with Southern Union State Community College, Baxter, Alabama Industrial Development Training – the state’s workforce agency – and local employers to host several job fairs for the affected employees, Fuller said.

“Our number one concern is those employees and helping them get situated,” he said. “We’ve got industry in Opelika that definitely needs additional folks, and finding workforce has been a tremendous challenge for us.”

When the original Gambro Renal Products plant first opened in the early 2000s, it was the largest capital investment in Lee County at the time, Fuller said. Baxter Healthcare’s parent company, Baxter International Inc., based in Deerfield, Illinois, acquired Gambro in 2013 and took over the Opelika plant.

The company has recently landed itself more cash in a $4.25 billion sale of its spun-off biopharma solutions business to two private equity firms. The company has two other plants that continue to produce dialyzers in other states. For now, only Baxter’s Alabama facility is closing, per the company.

LeRoy, who previously worked at a grassroots organization to prevent plant closings, said that the closure of the Baxter facility doesn’t make sense to him, pointing to the facility’s recent upgrade and expansion.

“Why can’t they make it there? From the outside, it’s like, what’s going on here? I would love to know the backstory,” he said. “The mysterious press release about global forces, it’s just mumbo jumbo until you unpack it.”

Baxter’s government incentive deal

In addition to cash incentives, Baxter also qualified for millions of dollars in state and local tax breaks from Alabama and Opelika. Lee County didn’t have any agreement with Baxter, per county administrator Holly Leverette.

Alabama also pledged to help with recruitment and training through the state’s workforce agency as well as cover some road improvement costs, provide fast-track permits and help the company qualify for income tax credits and tax exemptions tied to its electricity use. The State Industrial Development Authority also offered to pay $150,000 of the company’s expenses, but a representative said there was no record of that payment to Baxter.

Over the past nine years, Opelika has paid almost all of its incentives that it had originally pledged to Baxter, including milestones in its facility’s expansion, reimbursements for purchases from local vendors, cash tied to hiring goals, tax rebates, and relocation stipends to Baxter managers who moved to Opelika, according to payment records between the city and Baxter.

The city’s most recent check to Baxter was on Sept. 29: a $110,736.80 tax rebate for the prior tax year, according to a review of receipts. The most recent payment from the city tied to Baxter’s employee count came in August 2022, for $70,000.

The Opelika Industrial Development Authority pledged more grants for training opportunities, and entered a ground lease with Baxter for the 10.35 acres of land it needed for its facility’s expansion.

“It bothers me to think of someone being without a job during the holidays,” Fuller said. “I’m just keeping my fingers crossed that Baxter will make us all smile here in a few months with something new and exciting for their Opelika facility.”

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State Business Leaders Still Wary of U.S. Economy

  • October 18th, 2023

TUSCALOOSA, Ala. – State business leaders continue to be concerned about the national economy, dampening their financial outlook, according to the latest quarterly survey by The University of Alabama.

The UA Center for Business and Economic Research’s latest Alabama Business Confidence Index, taken in early September, decreased slightly, indicating expectations for a mild drop-off from last quarter’s economic performance.

The drop in confidence comes after the last survey found signs state business were reversing their negative outlook.

“The outlook for the U.S. economy remained strongly contractionary,” said Susannah Robichaux, socioeconomic analyst for CBER. “This index has been negative for the past eight quarters and the lowest component index for the past nine quarters, indicating sustained expectations for worse national economic conditions.”

The ABCI for the fourth quarter of 2023 is 48.2, which is slightly below the third quarter’s neutral index but still a better outlook than the post-pandemic low of 45.7 in the first quarter of this year. An index over 50 indicates an expansionary forecast compared to the previous quarter, and the closer the number is to 100, the more confident the forecast.

ABCI is gathered from a broad group of business executives across the state with six key indicators and a composite index. The statewide and national forecasts, along with industry-specific components like sales, profits, hiring and capital expenditures comprise the six indexes that combine to make the ABCI total.

Lingering concern over a possible economic recession could be why business leaders remain negative on the national economy. The rising interest rates by the Federal Reserve may finally start to slow the economy down now that business and personal savings built up during the pandemic are depleted, said Ahmad Ijaz, CBER executive director.

“Alabama’s economy is still doing relatively well, one reason businesses are more optimistic about the state’s economy than they are about the national economy,” he said.

CBER forecasts the state’s economy to grow 1.5% this year, about the same as in 2022 with both employment and state tax collections growing more slowly than last year.

This quarter, five of the nine industry groupings had an index above 50 showing a positive outlook for their own industry’s sales, profits, hiring and capital expenditures. The industry grouping with the highest and largest increase in confidence includes panelists in transportation, information and utilities.

Only three industries are forecasting a decrease in their sales compared to the previous quarter: wholesale trade, retail trade, and manufacturing.

Of the five metro areas in the state tracked in the survey, business leaders in Montgomery and Tuscaloosa have mildly positive outlooks for their local economies while the rest had negative outlooks.

The breakdown of all the industry forecasts by sector can be seen in the statewide ABCI report on CBER’s website.


The University of Alabama, part of The University of Alabama System, is the state’s flagship university. UA shapes a better world through its teaching, research and service. With a global reputation for excellence, UA provides an inclusive, forward-thinking environment and nearly 200 degree programs on a beautiful, student-centered campus. A leader in cutting-edge research, UA advances discovery, creative inquiry and knowledge through more than 30 research centers. As the state’s largest higher education institution, UA drives economic growth in Alabama and beyond.

Contact

Adam Jones, UA Strategic Communications, 205-348-4328, adam.jones@ua.edu

Source

Susannah Robichaux, socioeconomic analyst for CBER, scrobichaux@cba.ua.edu